This is a short-term probability forecast, not an alert or a guarantee. The aurora can flare and fade within minutes, and clear, dark skies away from city lights matter as much as the numbers. For alerts and detailed forecasts, see NOAA's Aurora 30-Minute Forecast.
An artistic animation of what the northern lights look like — it brightens and gains colour as the current Kp rises. This is a stylised view for a feel of the display, not a live image or a physics simulation.